Mid Dorset and North Poole

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 30.0%; LD: 26.0%; Ref: 21.0%; Lab: 12.0%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 31.0%; LD: 25.0%; Ref: 24.0%; Lab: 10.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 29.0%; Cons: 26.0%; Ref: 26.0%
YouGov September 2025	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 40.0%; Cons: 25.0%; Ref: 20.0%
More in Common September 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 33.0%; Cons: 30.0%; Ref: 24.0%
More in Common July 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 36.0%; Cons: 32.0%; Ref: 15.0%; Lab: 12.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: Cons: 30.0%; LD: 30.0%; Ref: 23.0%
YouGov June 2025	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 43.0%; Cons: 26.0%; Ref: 17.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 35.0%; LD: 30.0%; Ref: 16.0%
More in Common April 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 40.0%; Cons: 30.0%; Ref: 14.0%; Lab: 10.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 36.0%; LD: 30.0%; Ref: 14.0%; Lab: 10.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 40.0%; LD: 37.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Cons	Victory chances: Cons: 91.8%

Winning party: Liberal Democrats
Majority: 1352 (2.73%)
Turnout: 65.76%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Vikki Slade	Liberal Democrats	21442	43.3%
Michael Tomlinson	Conservative and Unionist Party	20090	40.6%
Candice Johnson-Cole	Labour Party	4566	9.2%
Ben Pantling	Green Party	2355	4.8%
John Dowling	Social Democratic Party	1061	2.1%

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 16570 (30.17%)
Turnout: 73.9%