Mid Dorset and North Poole

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 42%; Cons: 38%; Ref: 11%
More in Common April 2026	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 31%; LD: 30%; Ref: 21%; Lab: 10%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 30%; LD: 26%; Ref: 21%; Lab: 12%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 31%; LD: 25%; Ref: 24%; Lab: 10%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 29%; Cons: 26%; Ref: 26%
YouGov September 2025	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 40%; Cons: 25%; Ref: 20%
More in Common September 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 33%; Cons: 30%; Ref: 24%
More in Common July 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 36%; Cons: 32%; Ref: 15%; Lab: 12%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: Cons: 30%; LD: 30%; Ref: 23%
YouGov June 2025	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 43%; Cons: 26%; Ref: 17%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 35%; LD: 30%; Ref: 16%
More in Common April 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 40%; Cons: 30%; Ref: 14%; Lab: 10%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 36%; LD: 30%; Ref: 14%; Lab: 10%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 40%; LD: 37%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Cons	Victory chances: Cons: 92%

Winning party: Liberal Democrats
Majority: 1352 (2.73%)
Turnout: 65.76%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Vikki Slade	Liberal Democrats	21442	43.3%
Michael Tomlinson	Conservative and Unionist Party	20090	40.6%
Candice Johnson-Cole	Labour Party	4566	9.2%
Ben Pantling	Green Party	2355	4.8%
John Dowling	Social Democratic Party	1061	2.1%

(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 16570 (30.17%)
Turnout: 73.9%