Mid Buckinghamshire

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 29.0%; Ref: 25.0%; LD: 23.0%; Lab: 12.0%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 33.0%; Ref: 26.0%; Lab: 15.0%; LD: 13.0%; Green: 12.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 34.0%; Ref: 32.0%; LD: 15.0%
YouGov September 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 30.0%; LD: 27.0%; Ref: 22.0%; Lab: 10.0%
More in Common September 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 31.0%; Ref: 24.0%; LD: 23.0%; Lab: 14.0%
More in Common July 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 32.0%; LD: 28.0%; Ref: 17.0%; Lab: 15.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 29.0%; Ref: 27.0%; LD: 22.0%; Lab: 13.0%
YouGov June 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 30.0%; LD: 25.0%; Ref: 22.0%; Lab: 12.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 31.0%; Ref: 24.0%; LD: 22.0%; Lab: 14.0%
More in Common April 2025	Likely Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 39.0%; LD: 20.0%; Lab: 16.0%; Ref: 16.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Likely Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 37.0%; LD: 20.0%; Ref: 20.0%; Lab: 13.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 36.0%; LD: 27.0%; Ref: 19.0%; Lab: 12.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Cons	Victory chances: Cons: 100.0%

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 5872 (10.88%)
Turnout: 71.34%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Greg Smith	Conservative and Unionist Party	20150	37.3%
Anja Schaefer	Liberal Democrats	14278	26.5%
Carissma Griffiths	Labour Party	9171	17.0%
Steph Harwood	Reform UK	6926	12.8%
Greg Smith	Green Party	2942	5.5%
Yvonne Dorette Wilding	Social Democratic Party	337	0.6%
Wisdom Methodious Da Costa	Climate Party	147	0.3%

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 22648 (41.76%)
Turnout: 75.1%