Keighley and Ilkley

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 27%; Cons: 25%; Lab: 21%; Green: 16%
More in Common April 2026	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 39%; Ref: 25%; Lab: 18%; Green: 10%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 40%; Ref: 31%; Lab: 14%
More in Common January 2026	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 34%; Ref: 26%; Lab: 21%; Green: 13%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 35%; Cons: 21%; Lab: 20%
YouGov September 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 31%; Ref: 25%; Lab: 21%; Green: 10%
More in Common September 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 32%; Ref: 30%; Lab: 23%
More in Common July 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 30%; Ref: 30%; Lab: 24%; LD: 10%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 35%; Lab: 25%; Cons: 23%
YouGov June 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 31%; Lab: 24%; Ref: 24%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 33%; Ref: 27%; Lab: 23%
More in Common April 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 36%; Lab: 28%; Ref: 27%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 31%; Lab: 26%; Ref: 25%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 40%; Lab: 28%; Ref: 19%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Cons	Victory chances: Cons: 100%

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 1625 (3.51%)
Turnout: 62.11%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Robbie Moore	Conservative and Unionist Party	18589	40.2%
John Grogan	Labour Party	16964	36.7%
Andrew Mark Judson	Reform UK	4782	10.4%
John Wood	Green Party	2447	5.3%
Vaz Shabir	Independent	2036	4.4%
Chris Adams	Liberal Democrats	970	2.1%
Dominic James Atlas	Yorkshire Party	398	0.9%

(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 2218 (4.21%)
Turnout: 72.1%