Isle of Wight East

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 37%; Ref: 36%
More in Common April 2026	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 32%; Cons: 24%; Green: 21%; LD: 12%; Lab: 10%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 42%; Cons: 34%; Green: 10%
More in Common January 2026	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 37%; Cons: 25%; Green: 19%; Lab: 10%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 43%; Cons: 33%
YouGov September 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 34%; Cons: 21%; Green: 20%; LD: 12%; Lab: 11%
More in Common September 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 35%; Cons: 22%; Green: 18%; LD: 13%; Lab: 10%
More in Common July 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 35%; Cons: 22%; Green: 16%; LD: 14%; Lab: 12%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 36%; Cons: 24%; Green: 15%; Lab: 13%
YouGov June 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 35%; Cons: 21%; Green: 18%; Lab: 12%; LD: 12%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 31%; Cons: 28%; Green: 16%; Lab: 14%; LD: 10%
More in Common April 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 26%; Cons: 25%; Green: 19%; Lab: 17%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 29%; Cons: 28%; Green: 16%; Lab: 13%; LD: 10%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 32%; Cons: 28%; Green: 18%; Lab: 12%; LD: 11%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Cons	Victory chances: Cons: 100%

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 3323 (9.75%)
Turnout: 61.01%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Joe Robertson	Conservative and Unionist Party	10427	30.6%
Sarah Jane Morris	Reform UK	7104	20.8%
Vix Lowthion	Green Party	6313	18.5%
Emily Brothers	Labour Party	6264	18.4%
Michael Lilley	Liberal Democrats	3550	10.4%
David Groocock	Independent	420	1.2%

(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 12119 (33.34%)
Turnout: 64%