Hereford and South Herefordshire

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 40%; Ref: 34%
More in Common April 2026	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 33%; Cons: 27%; Lab: 15%; LD: 15%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 40%; Cons: 35%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 36%; Cons: 29%; Lab: 15%; Green: 10%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Likely Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 41%; Cons: 25%; Lab: 14%
YouGov September 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 31%; Cons: 24%; LD: 15%; Lab: 14%; Green: 12%
More in Common September 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 37%; Cons: 25%; Lab: 14%; LD: 14%
More in Common July 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 32%; Cons: 29%; Lab: 17%; LD: 14%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 37%; Cons: 24%; Lab: 18%; LD: 12%
YouGov June 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 30%; Cons: 25%; Lab: 19%; LD: 13%; Green: 11%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 30%; Cons: 29%; Lab: 19%; LD: 12%
More in Common April 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 32%; Ref: 27%; Lab: 20%; LD: 11%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 32%; Ref: 27%; Lab: 18%; LD: 11%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 31%; Ref: 26%; Lab: 22%; LD: 12%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Cons	Victory chances: Cons: 100%

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 1279 (2.80%)
Turnout: 63.12%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Jesse Norman	Conservative and Unionist Party	14871	32.6%
Joe Emmett	Labour Party	13592	29.8%
Nigel Ely	Reform UK	8395	18.4%
Dan Powell	Liberal Democrats	5325	11.7%
Diana Toynbee	Green Party	3175	7.0%
Mark Weaden	Independent	214	0.5%

(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 19321 (41.76%)
Turnout: 65%