Hemel Hempstead

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 25%; Cons: 21%; Lab: 18%; Green: 16%; LD: 14%
More in Common April 2026	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 30%; Cons: 25%; Lab: 23%; LD: 12%; Green: 10%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 30%; Cons: 23%; Lab: 19%; Green: 13%; LD: 13%
More in Common January 2026	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 35%; Cons: 26%; Lab: 23%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Likely Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 36%; Lab: 21%; Cons: 19%; LD: 12%
YouGov September 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 29%; Lab: 22%; Cons: 19%; LD: 15%; Green: 11%
More in Common September 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 34%; Cons: 22%; Lab: 21%; LD: 16%
More in Common July 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 27%; Ref: 27%; Lab: 23%; LD: 11%; Green: 10%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 31%; Lab: 24%; Cons: 22%; LD: 12%; Green: 10%
YouGov June 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 28%; Lab: 25%; Cons: 21%; LD: 14%; Green: 11%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 27%; Ref: 27%; Lab: 26%; LD: 11%
More in Common April 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 30%; Lab: 28%; Ref: 26%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 28%; Ref: 25%; Lab: 23%; LD: 13%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 29%; Cons: 28%; Ref: 22%; LD: 13%
More in Common Dec 2024	Likely Cons	Victory chances: Cons: 77%; Lab: 23%

Winning party: Labour
Majority: 4857 (11.01%)
Turnout: 62.09%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
David Taylor	Labour Party	16844	38.2%
Andrew Williams	Conservative and Unionist Party	11987	27.2%
Noel Willcox	Reform UK	7689	17.4%
Sammy Barry-Mears	Liberal Democrats	5096	11.6%
Sherief Hassan	Green Party	2492	5.6%

(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 13161 (26.82%)
Turnout: 69.6%