Harwich and North Essex

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 41%; Ref: 33%
More in Common April 2026	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 35%; Cons: 29%; Lab: 17%; LD: 10%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 39%; Cons: 27%; Lab: 15%
More in Common January 2026	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 37%; Cons: 29%; Lab: 18%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Likely Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 40%; Cons: 25%; Lab: 17%
YouGov September 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 33%; Cons: 25%; Lab: 17%; LD: 12%; Green: 11%
More in Common September 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 37%; Cons: 27%; Lab: 17%; LD: 14%
More in Common July 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 33%; Cons: 29%; Lab: 19%; LD: 13%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 33%; Cons: 27%; Lab: 21%
YouGov June 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 33%; Cons: 25%; Lab: 20%; LD: 11%; Green: 10%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 31%; Cons: 30%; Lab: 22%
More in Common April 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 32%; Ref: 30%; Lab: 21%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 32%; Ref: 28%; Lab: 19%; LD: 10%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 33%; Ref: 30%; Lab: 20%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Cons	Victory chances: Cons: 100%

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 1162 (2.41%)
Turnout: 62.97%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Bernard Jenkin	Conservative and Unionist Party	16522	34.4%
Alex Diner	Labour Party	15360	32.0%
Mark Cole	Reform UK	9806	20.4%
Natalie Sommers	Liberal Democrats	3561	7.4%
Andrew Canessa	Green Party	2794	5.8%

(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 17651 (32.63%)
Turnout: 72.3%