Harrogate and Knaresborough

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 35.0%; Cons: 25.0%; Ref: 21.0%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 30.0%; Cons: 25.0%; Ref: 23.0%; Lab: 11.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 49.0%; Ref: 39.0%
YouGov September 2025	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 42.0%; Ref: 24.0%; Cons: 19.0%
More in Common September 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 37.0%; Ref: 25.0%; Cons: 23.0%
More in Common July 2025	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 41.0%; Cons: 26.0%; Ref: 19.0%; Lab: 12.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 35.0%; Ref: 27.0%; Cons: 21.0%; Lab: 11.0%
YouGov June 2025	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 41.0%; Cons: 21.0%; Ref: 21.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 32.0%; Cons: 27.0%; Ref: 24.0%
More in Common April 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 38.0%; Cons: 27.0%; Ref: 18.0%; Lab: 12.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 28.0%; Ref: 26.0%; Cons: 22.0%; Lab: 15.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 39.0%; Cons: 31.0%; Ref: 19.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe LD	Victory chances: LD: 100.0%

Winning party: Liberal Democrats
Majority: 8238 (15.82%)
Turnout: 66.79%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Tom Gordon	Liberal Democrats	23976	46.1%
Andrew Jones	Conservative and Unionist Party	15738	30.2%
Jonathan Mark Swales	Reform UK	5679	10.9%
Conrad James Whitcroft	Labour Party	4153	8.0%
Shan Oakes	Green Party	1762	3.4%
Paul Haslam	Independent	620	1.2%
Stephen Douglas Metcalfe	Independent	136	0.3%

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 8787 (15.82%)
Turnout: 73.3%