Harrogate and Knaresborough

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 36%; Cons: 22%; Ref: 18%; Green: 13%
More in Common April 2026	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 30%; Ref: 26%; Cons: 24%; Lab: 11%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 35%; Cons: 25%; Ref: 21%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 30%; Cons: 25%; Ref: 23%; Lab: 11%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 49%; Ref: 39%
YouGov September 2025	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 42%; Ref: 24%; Cons: 19%
More in Common September 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 37%; Ref: 25%; Cons: 23%
More in Common July 2025	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 41%; Cons: 26%; Ref: 19%; Lab: 12%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 35%; Ref: 27%; Cons: 21%; Lab: 11%
YouGov June 2025	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 41%; Cons: 21%; Ref: 21%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 32%; Cons: 27%; Ref: 24%
More in Common April 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 38%; Cons: 27%; Ref: 18%; Lab: 12%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 28%; Ref: 26%; Cons: 22%; Lab: 15%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 39%; Cons: 31%; Ref: 19%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe LD	Victory chances: LD: 100%

Winning party: Liberal Democrats
Majority: 8238 (15.82%)
Turnout: 66.79%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Tom Gordon	Liberal Democrats	23976	46.1%
Andrew Jones	Conservative and Unionist Party	15738	30.2%
Jonathan Mark Swales	Reform UK	5679	10.9%
Conrad Whitcroft	Labour Party	4153	8.0%
Shan Oakes	Green Party	1762	3.4%
Paul Haslam	Independent	620	1.2%
Stephen Douglas Metcalfe	Independent	136	0.3%

(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 8787 (15.82%)
Turnout: 73.3%