Harpenden and Berkhamsted

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 49.0%; Cons: 31.0%; Ref: 11.0%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 29.0%; LD: 27.0%; Ref: 22.0%; Lab: 13.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 35.0%; Ref: 24.0%; Cons: 19.0%; Lab: 10.0%
YouGov September 2025	Safe LD	Vote shares: LD: 49.0%; Cons: 19.0%; Ref: 18.0%
More in Common September 2025	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 44.0%; Cons: 24.0%; Ref: 19.0%
More in Common July 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 43.0%; Cons: 30.0%; Ref: 12.0%; Lab: 11.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 41.0%; Cons: 23.0%; Ref: 18.0%; Lab: 11.0%
YouGov June 2025	Safe LD	Vote shares: LD: 51.0%; Cons: 21.0%; Ref: 16.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 37.0%; Cons: 27.0%; Ref: 17.0%; Lab: 11.0%
More in Common April 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 37.0%; Cons: 33.0%; Ref: 13.0%; Lab: 12.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 34.0%; Cons: 28.0%; Ref: 16.0%; Lab: 14.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 46.0%; Cons: 30.0%; Ref: 12.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe LD	Victory chances: LD: 100.0%

Winning party: Liberal Democrats
Majority: 10708 (19.70%)
Turnout: 75.21%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Victoria Collins	Liberal Democrats	27282	50.2%
Nigel Robert Gardner	Conservative and Unionist Party	16574	30.5%
Saba Poursaeedi	Reform UK	4245	7.8%
Zara Layne	Labour Party	4061	7.5%
Paul Gregory De Hoest	Green Party	1951	3.6%
Mark Thomas Patten	Social Democratic Party	223	0.4%

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 15044 (26.99%)
Turnout: 77.8%