Harpenden and Berkhamsted

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 52%; Cons: 30%
More in Common April 2026	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 34%; Cons: 26%; Ref: 20%; Lab: 11%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 49%; Cons: 31%; Ref: 11%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 29%; LD: 27%; Ref: 22%; Lab: 13%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 35%; Ref: 24%; Cons: 19%; Lab: 10%
YouGov September 2025	Safe LD	Vote shares: LD: 49%; Cons: 19%; Ref: 18%
More in Common September 2025	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 44%; Cons: 24%; Ref: 19%
More in Common July 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 43%; Cons: 30%; Ref: 12%; Lab: 11%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 41%; Cons: 23%; Ref: 18%; Lab: 11%
YouGov June 2025	Safe LD	Vote shares: LD: 51%; Cons: 21%; Ref: 16%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 37%; Cons: 27%; Ref: 17%; Lab: 11%
More in Common April 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 37%; Cons: 33%; Ref: 13%; Lab: 12%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 34%; Cons: 28%; Ref: 16%; Lab: 14%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 46%; Cons: 30%; Ref: 12%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe LD	Victory chances: LD: 100%

Winning party: Liberal Democrats
Majority: 10708 (19.70%)
Turnout: 75.21%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Victoria Collins	Liberal Democrats	27282	50.2%
Nigel Robert Gardner	Conservative and Unionist Party	16574	30.5%
Saba Poursaeedi	Reform UK	4245	7.8%
Zara Layne	Labour Party	4061	7.5%
Paul Gregory De Hoest	Green Party	1951	3.6%
Mark Thomas Patten	Social Democratic Party	223	0.4%

(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 15044 (26.99%)
Turnout: 77.8%