Grantham and Bourne

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 41.0%; Ref: 40.0%
More in Common January 2026	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 40.0%; Cons: 27.0%; Lab: 13.0%; Green: 11.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Likely Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 46.0%; Cons: 31.0%
YouGov September 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 36.0%; Cons: 27.0%; Lab: 14.0%; Green: 10.0%
More in Common September 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 39.0%; Cons: 27.0%; Lab: 13.0%; LD: 10.0%
More in Common July 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 35.0%; Cons: 26.0%; Lab: 17.0%; LD: 15.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Likely Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 40.0%; Cons: 24.0%; Lab: 15.0%
YouGov June 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 34.0%; Cons: 27.0%; Lab: 18.0%; Green: 10.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 36.0%; Cons: 30.0%; Lab: 15.0%
More in Common April 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 33.0%; Ref: 30.0%; Lab: 19.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 33.0%; Cons: 31.0%; Lab: 16.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 36.0%; Ref: 29.0%; Lab: 21.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Cons	Victory chances: Cons: 100.0%

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 4496 (9.74%)
Turnout: 62.94%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Gareth Davies	Conservative and Unionist Party	16770	36.4%
Vipul Bechar	Labour Party	12274	26.6%
Mike Rudkin	Reform UK	9393	20.4%
Anne Elizabeth Gayfer	Green Party	2570	5.6%
John Vincent	Liberal Democrats	2027	4.4%
Ian Edward Selby	Independent	1642	3.6%
Charmaine Dawn Morgan	Lincolnshire Independents Lincolnshire First	1245	2.7%
Alexander Leslie Mitchell	Social Democratic Party	204	0.4%

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 22393 (45.83%)
Turnout: 67.8%