Goole and Pocklington

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 42%; Ref: 34%
More in Common April 2026	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 37%; Cons: 30%; Lab: 13%; LD: 10%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 43%; Ref: 37%; Lab: 10%
More in Common January 2026	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 38%; Cons: 30%; Lab: 14%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 43%; Cons: 31%; Lab: 10%
YouGov September 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 33%; Cons: 28%; Lab: 16%; LD: 11%
More in Common September 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 36%; Cons: 28%; Lab: 14%; LD: 10%
More in Common July 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 32%; Cons: 27%; Lab: 18%; LD: 18%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 38%; Cons: 26%; Lab: 19%
YouGov June 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 30%; Cons: 29%; Lab: 18%; LD: 12%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 34%; Cons: 31%; Lab: 18%
More in Common April 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 32%; Ref: 31%; Lab: 18%; LD: 11%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 33%; Ref: 31%; Lab: 19%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 37%; Ref: 26%; Lab: 21%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Cons	Victory chances: Cons: 100%

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 3572 (7.18%)
Turnout: 62.24%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
David Davis	Conservative and Unionist Party	18981	38.2%
Liam Draycott	Labour Party	15409	31.0%
Richard Christopher Kelly	Reform UK	9054	18.2%
Dale Richard Needham	Liberal Democrats	3380	6.8%
Angela Stone	Green Party	2451	4.9%
Shona Wade	Independent	467	0.9%

(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 22302 (44.69%)
Turnout: 65.4%