Fylde

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 39.0%; Cons: 38.0%
More in Common January 2026	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 38.0%; Cons: 26.0%; Lab: 17.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Likely Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 41.0%; Cons: 24.0%; Lab: 14.0%
YouGov September 2025	Likely Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 39.0%; Cons: 20.0%; Lab: 18.0%
More in Common September 2025	Likely Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 42.0%; Cons: 25.0%; Lab: 17.0%
More in Common July 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 32.0%; Cons: 26.0%; Lab: 22.0%; LD: 15.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 36.0%; Cons: 23.0%; Lab: 19.0%; Other: 10.0%
YouGov June 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 33.0%; Cons: 23.0%; Lab: 21.0%; LD: 12.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 31.0%; Cons: 30.0%; Lab: 18.0%
More in Common April 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 33.0%; Ref: 32.0%; Lab: 21.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Cons: 30.0%; Ref: 30.0%; Lab: 19.0%; Other: 12.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 34.0%; Ref: 25.0%; Lab: 24.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Cons	Victory chances: Cons: 100.0%

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 561 (1.16%)
Turnout: 62.20%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Andrew Snowden	Conservative and Unionist Party	15917	33.2%
Tom Calver	Labour Party	15356	32.0%
Brook Wimbury	Reform UK	8295	17.3%
Anne Aitken	Independent	4513	9.4%
Mark Jewell	Liberal Democrats	2120	4.4%
Brenden John Wilkinson	Green Party	1560	3.3%
Cheryl Morrison	Alliance for Democracy and Freedom	199	0.4%

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 19254 (37.06%)
Turnout: 69.2%