Frome and East Somerset

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 32.0%; Ref: 29.0%; Cons: 16.0%; Green: 12.0%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 28.0%; Cons: 22.0%; LD: 22.0%; Green: 16.0%; Lab: 10.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 44.0%; Ref: 39.0%
YouGov September 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 32.0%; Ref: 25.0%; Cons: 17.0%; Green: 14.0%; Lab: 10.0%
More in Common September 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 30.0%; Ref: 28.0%; Cons: 19.0%; Green: 11.0%
More in Common July 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 30.0%; Cons: 24.0%; Ref: 21.0%; Lab: 13.0%; Green: 12.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 29.0%; Ref: 27.0%; Cons: 18.0%; Lab: 15.0%
YouGov June 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 32.0%; Ref: 25.0%; Cons: 17.0%; Green: 13.0%; Lab: 12.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 26.0%; Ref: 25.0%; Cons: 22.0%; Lab: 13.0%; Green: 11.0%
More in Common April 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 32.0%; Cons: 25.0%; Ref: 18.0%; Lab: 13.0%; Green: 11.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 23.0%; Ref: 22.0%; Cons: 21.0%; Lab: 16.0%; Green: 11.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 31.0%; Cons: 24.0%; Ref: 21.0%; Green: 13.0%; Lab: 12.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe LD	Victory chances: LD: 97.4%

Winning party: Liberal Democrats
Majority: 5415 (11.59%)
Turnout: 65.25%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Anna Sabine	Liberal Democrats	16580	35.5%
Lucy Clare Trimnell	Conservative and Unionist Party	11165	23.9%
David Swain	Reform UK	6441	13.8%
Robin Moss	Labour Party	6416	13.7%
Martin Dimery	Green Party	5083	10.9%
Shaun Hughes	Independent	737	1.6%
Gavin John Heathcote	Independent	294	0.6%

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 12395 (25.83%)
Turnout: 68.4%