Esher and Walton

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 45%; Cons: 25%; Ref: 14%
More in Common April 2026	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 40%; Cons: 24%; Ref: 19%; Lab: 10%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 47%; Cons: 33%; Ref: 11%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 33%; Cons: 27%; Ref: 21%; Lab: 10%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 39%; Ref: 27%; Cons: 16%
YouGov September 2025	Safe LD	Vote shares: LD: 51%; Cons: 21%; Ref: 16%
More in Common September 2025	Safe LD	Vote shares: LD: 49%; Cons: 24%; Ref: 18%
More in Common July 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 38%; Cons: 24%; Ref: 18%; Lab: 16%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 43%; Cons: 22%; Ref: 20%; Lab: 10%
YouGov June 2025	Safe LD	Vote shares: LD: 51%; Cons: 21%; Ref: 16%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 38%; Cons: 28%; Ref: 17%
More in Common April 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 40%; Cons: 31%; Lab: 12%; Ref: 11%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 35%; Cons: 27%; Ref: 17%; Lab: 13%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 46%; Cons: 32%; Ref: 13%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe LD	Victory chances: LD: 100%

Winning party: Liberal Democrats
Majority: 12003 (22.27%)
Turnout: 72.77%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Monica Harding	Liberal Democrats	28315	52.6%
John Cope	Conservative and Unionist Party	16312	30.3%
Alastair Gray	Reform UK	4777	8.9%
Yoel Gordon	Labour Party	2846	5.3%
Maciej Pawlik	Green Party	1396	2.6%
Richard Bateson	Social Democratic Party	234	0.4%

(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 3015 (5.36%)
Turnout: 76.7%