Epsom and Ewell

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 27.0%; Ref: 26.0%; LD: 22.0%; Green: 11.0%; Lab: 11.0%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 27.0%; Ref: 26.0%; LD: 23.0%; Lab: 15.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: LD: 31.0%; Ref: 31.0%; Cons: 16.0%; Lab: 11.0%
YouGov September 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 36.0%; Cons: 22.0%; Ref: 21.0%; Lab: 10.0%
More in Common September 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 37.0%; Cons: 24.0%; Ref: 23.0%; Lab: 10.0%
More in Common July 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 31.0%; Cons: 23.0%; Ref: 22.0%; Lab: 19.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 32.0%; Ref: 23.0%; Cons: 22.0%; Lab: 15.0%
YouGov June 2025	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 37.0%; Cons: 22.0%; Ref: 21.0%; Lab: 13.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 29.0%; LD: 28.0%; Ref: 20.0%; Lab: 15.0%
More in Common April 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 32.0%; Cons: 30.0%; Lab: 17.0%; Ref: 14.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 29.0%; LD: 25.0%; Ref: 20.0%; Lab: 17.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 34.0%; Cons: 31.0%; Ref: 18.0%; Lab: 13.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Lean Cons	Victory chances: Cons: 55.8%; LD: 44.2%

Winning party: Liberal Democrats
Majority: 3686 (6.76%)
Turnout: 71.26%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Helen Maguire	Liberal Democrats	20674	37.9%
Mhairi Fraser	Conservative and Unionist Party	16988	31.2%
Mark Todd	Labour Party	8325	15.3%
Mayuran Senthilnathan	Reform UK	5795	10.6%
Stephen McKenna	Green Party	1745	3.2%
Gina Miller	True & Fair Party	845	1.5%
Damon Young	Social Democratic Party	153	0.3%

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 16856 (29.36%)
Turnout: 74.7%