Epsom and Ewell

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 28%; LD: 24%; Ref: 23%; Green: 10%; Lab: 10%
More in Common April 2026	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 33%; Cons: 25%; Ref: 22%; Lab: 13%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 27%; Ref: 26%; LD: 22%; Green: 11%; Lab: 11%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 27%; Ref: 26%; LD: 23%; Lab: 15%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: LD: 31%; Ref: 31%; Cons: 16%; Lab: 11%
YouGov September 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 36%; Cons: 22%; Ref: 21%; Lab: 10%
More in Common September 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 37%; Cons: 24%; Ref: 23%; Lab: 10%
More in Common July 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 31%; Cons: 23%; Ref: 22%; Lab: 19%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 32%; Ref: 23%; Cons: 22%; Lab: 15%
YouGov June 2025	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 37%; Cons: 22%; Ref: 21%; Lab: 13%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 29%; LD: 28%; Ref: 20%; Lab: 15%
More in Common April 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 32%; Cons: 30%; Lab: 17%; Ref: 14%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 29%; LD: 25%; Ref: 20%; Lab: 17%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 34%; Cons: 31%; Ref: 18%; Lab: 13%
More in Common Dec 2024	Lean Cons	Victory chances: Cons: 56%; LD: 44%

Winning party: Liberal Democrats
Majority: 3686 (6.76%)
Turnout: 71.26%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Helen Maguire	Liberal Democrats	20674	37.9%
Mhairi Fraser	Conservative and Unionist Party	16988	31.2%
Mark Todd	Labour Party	8325	15.3%
Mayuran Senthilnathan	Reform UK	5795	10.6%
Stephen Hugh McKenna	Green Party	1745	3.2%
Gina Miller	True & Fair Party	845	1.5%
Damon Young	Social Democratic Party	153	0.3%

(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 16856 (29.36%)
Turnout: 74.7%