Ellesmere Port and Bromborough
Official Parliament web pageCurrent MP
Name: Justin Madders
Party: Labour
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
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2029 election
No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.
Projections
| Projection | Projected result | Description |
|---|---|---|
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 44.0%; Lab: 42.0% |
| More in Common January 2026 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 40.0%; Lab: 28.0%; Green: 12.0%; Cons: 11.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 45.0%; Ref: 42.0% |
| YouGov September 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 33.0%; Ref: 30.0%; Green: 12.0%; LD: 10.0% |
| More in Common September 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 36.0%; Lab: 32.0%; Green: 12.0% |
| More in Common July 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 35.0%; Ref: 31.0%; LD: 13.0%; Cons: 12.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 36.0%; Ref: 36.0%; Cons: 12.0% |
| YouGov June 2025 | Lean Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 38.0%; Ref: 30.0%; Cons: 11.0%; Green: 11.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025 | Lean Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 38.0%; Ref: 27.0%; Cons: 15.0% |
| More in Common April 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 34.0%; Lab: 29.0%; Cons: 14.0%; LD: 12.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 35.0%; Ref: 29.0%; Cons: 12.0% |
| Focaldata Jan 2025 | Likely Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 48.0%; Ref: 24.0%; Cons: 12.0% |
| More in Common Dec 2024 | Safe Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 100.0% |
2024 results
Winning party: Labour
Majority: 16908 (40.29%)
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Madders | Labour Party | 24186 | 57.6% |
| Michael Christopher Aldred | Reform UK | 7278 | 17.3% |
| Lee Evans | Conservative and Unionist Party | 5210 | 12.4% |
| Harry Ross Gorman | Green Party | 2706 | 6.4% |
| Chris Carubia | Liberal Democrats | 2328 | 5.5% |
| Ruth Kathleen Boulton | Independent | 256 | 0.6% |
More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"
2019 notional results
(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)
Winning party: Labour
Majority: 14577 (32.23%)
Turnout: 63.7%
| Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 26811 | 59.3% |
| Conservative | 12234 | 27.1% |
| Liberal Democrats | 3355 | 7.4% |
| Reform UK | 1957 | 4.3% |
| Green | 859 | 1.9% |