East Surrey

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 40%; Ref: 34%
More in Common April 2026	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 29%; Cons: 28%; LD: 20%; Lab: 11%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 44%; Ref: 34%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 32%; Cons: 31%; Lab: 14%; LD: 11%; Green: 10%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 37%; Cons: 36%
YouGov September 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 28%; Ref: 28%; LD: 20%; Lab: 12%; Green: 10%
More in Common September 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 29%; Cons: 28%; LD: 21%; Lab: 11%
More in Common July 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 32%; Ref: 24%; LD: 21%; Lab: 17%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Cons: 29%; Ref: 29%; Lab: 15%; LD: 15%
YouGov June 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 28%; Ref: 26%; LD: 19%; Lab: 15%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 32%; Ref: 27%; Lab: 16%; LD: 14%
More in Common April 2025	Likely Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 35%; Ref: 20%; Lab: 18%; LD: 15%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 33%; Ref: 24%; LD: 16%; Lab: 14%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 35%; Ref: 26%; Lab: 16%; LD: 16%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Cons	Victory chances: Cons: 100%

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 7450 (15.14%)
Turnout: 67.11%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Claire Coutinho	Conservative and Unionist Party	17502	35.6%
Tom Bowell	Labour Party	10052	20.4%
Claire Philomena Malcomson	Liberal Democrats	8833	18.0%
Chris Scott	Reform UK	8380	17.0%
Shasha Khan	Green Party	2957	6.0%
Judy Moore	Independent	1145	2.3%
Martin Hogbin	The Official Monster Raving Loony Party	327	0.7%

(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 20565 (39.95%)
Turnout: 70.4%