East Surrey

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 44.0%; Ref: 34.0%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 32.0%; Cons: 31.0%; Lab: 14.0%; LD: 11.0%; Green: 10.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 37.0%; Cons: 36.0%
YouGov September 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 28.0%; Ref: 28.0%; LD: 20.0%; Lab: 12.0%; Green: 10.0%
More in Common September 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 29.0%; Cons: 28.0%; LD: 21.0%; Lab: 11.0%
More in Common July 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 32.0%; Ref: 24.0%; LD: 21.0%; Lab: 17.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Cons: 29.0%; Ref: 29.0%; Lab: 15.0%; LD: 15.0%
YouGov June 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 28.0%; Ref: 26.0%; LD: 19.0%; Lab: 15.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 32.0%; Ref: 27.0%; Lab: 16.0%; LD: 14.0%
More in Common April 2025	Likely Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 35.0%; Ref: 20.0%; Lab: 18.0%; LD: 15.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 33.0%; Ref: 24.0%; LD: 16.0%; Lab: 14.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 35.0%; Ref: 26.0%; Lab: 16.0%; LD: 16.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Cons	Victory chances: Cons: 100.0%

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 7450 (15.14%)
Turnout: 67.11%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Claire Coutinho	Conservative and Unionist Party	17502	35.6%
Thomas Bowell	Labour Party	10052	20.4%
Claire Malcomson	Liberal Democrats	8833	18.0%
Chris Scott	Reform UK	8380	17.0%
Shasha Khan	Green Party	2957	6.0%
Judy Moore	Independent	1145	2.3%
Martin Hogbin	The Official Monster Raving Loony Party	327	0.7%

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 20565 (39.95%)
Turnout: 70.4%