East Hampshire

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 29.0%; Ref: 26.0%; LD: 25.0%; Lab: 10.0%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 32.0%; Ref: 26.0%; LD: 17.0%; Green: 12.0%; Lab: 11.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 30.0%; Cons: 26.0%; LD: 24.0%
YouGov September 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 35.0%; Cons: 28.0%; Ref: 21.0%
More in Common September 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 30.0%; LD: 28.0%; Ref: 25.0%
More in Common July 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 32.0%; LD: 31.0%; Ref: 19.0%; Lab: 12.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 28.0%; Ref: 28.0%; LD: 26.0%
YouGov June 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 37.0%; Cons: 28.0%; Ref: 21.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 33.0%; LD: 26.0%; Ref: 22.0%; Lab: 10.0%
More in Common April 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 36.0%; LD: 27.0%; Ref: 17.0%; Lab: 12.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 36.0%; LD: 25.0%; Ref: 20.0%; Lab: 10.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 36.0%; LD: 31.0%; Ref: 20.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Cons	Victory chances: Cons: 100.0%

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 1275 (2.54%)
Turnout: 70.77%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Damian Hinds	Conservative and Unionist Party	18509	37.0%
Dominic Martin	Liberal Democrats	17234	34.5%
Matthew Kellermann	Reform UK	6476	13.0%
Lucy Emma Sims	Labour Party	4867	9.7%
Richard Knight	Green Party	2404	4.8%
Jim Makin	Hampshire Independents	364	0.7%
Sara Smith	Social Democratic Party	152	0.3%

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 20200 (37.28%)
Turnout: 77.4%