Dorking and Horley

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 28%; LD: 26%; Ref: 22%; Green: 10%
More in Common April 2026	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 31%; Cons: 26%; Ref: 23%; Lab: 11%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 31%; Ref: 28%; Cons: 22%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 28%; Ref: 27%; LD: 22%; Green: 12%; Lab: 10%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 41%; Ref: 36%; Cons: 13%
YouGov September 2025	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 39%; Ref: 24%; Cons: 21%
More in Common September 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 37%; Cons: 25%; Ref: 24%
More in Common July 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 35%; Cons: 30%; Ref: 18%; Lab: 11%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 34%; Cons: 26%; Ref: 22%
YouGov June 2025	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 40%; Ref: 24%; Cons: 20%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 30%; LD: 29%; Ref: 23%; Lab: 10%
More in Common April 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 34%; Cons: 31%; Ref: 17%; Lab: 11%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 33%; Cons: 29%; Ref: 21%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 34%; Cons: 32%; Ref: 21%
More in Common Dec 2024	Lean Cons	Victory chances: Cons: 67%; LD: 33%

Winning party: Liberal Democrats
Majority: 5391 (10.78%)
Turnout: 69.74%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Chris Coghlan	Liberal Democrats	20921	41.9%
Marisa Natalie Heath	Conservative and Unionist Party	15530	31.1%
Craig Alexander Young	Reform UK	6898	13.8%
Nadia Burrell	Labour Party	4053	8.1%
Lisa Claire Scott	Green Party	2563	5.1%

(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 10381 (19.04%)
Turnout: 77.5%