Christchurch

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 39%; Ref: 37%
More in Common April 2026	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 34%; Cons: 27%; LD: 21%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 43%; Ref: 38%
More in Common January 2026	Likely Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 43%; Cons: 28%; LD: 10%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 42%; Cons: 37%
YouGov September 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 36%; Cons: 22%; LD: 22%; Lab: 10%
More in Common September 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 39%; Cons: 27%; LD: 18%
More in Common July 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Cons: 28%; Ref: 28%; LD: 24%; Lab: 14%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 36%; Cons: 26%; LD: 16%; Lab: 12%
YouGov June 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 33%; LD: 25%; Cons: 23%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 33%; Ref: 28%; LD: 16%; Lab: 12%
More in Common April 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 28%; Ref: 28%; LD: 19%; Lab: 14%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 36%; Ref: 27%; LD: 15%; Lab: 11%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 36%; Ref: 29%; LD: 18%; Lab: 12%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Cons	Victory chances: Cons: 100%

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 7455 (15.74%)
Turnout: 66.61%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Christopher Chope	Conservative and Unionist Party	16941	35.8%
Mike Cox	Liberal Democrats	9486	20.0%
Robin Adamson	Reform UK	8961	18.9%
Joanna Howard	Labour Party	7762	16.4%
Susan Graham	Green Party	1900	4.0%
Simon McCormack	Independent	1728	3.7%
Sasha Jolliffe Yasawi	Animal Welfare Party	335	0.7%
Steve Unwin	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	163	0.3%
Trevor Parsons	Social Democratic Party	59	0.1%

(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 25034 (48.24%)
Turnout: 72.5%