Chesham and Amersham

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 32.0%; Cons: 28.0%; Ref: 21.0%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 31.0%; Ref: 24.0%; LD: 22.0%; Green: 12.0%; Lab: 10.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 31.0%; Ref: 26.0%; Cons: 25.0%
YouGov September 2025	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 43.0%; Cons: 24.0%; Ref: 19.0%
More in Common September 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 38.0%; Cons: 28.0%; Ref: 21.0%
More in Common July 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 34.0%; Cons: 27.0%; Ref: 21.0%; Lab: 11.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 36.0%; Cons: 28.0%; Ref: 18.0%
YouGov June 2025	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 43.0%; Cons: 23.0%; Ref: 20.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 33.0%; LD: 31.0%; Ref: 19.0%; Lab: 10.0%
More in Common April 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: Cons: 34.0%; LD: 34.0%; Ref: 13.0%; Lab: 12.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 34.0%; Cons: 33.0%; Ref: 17.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 41.0%; Cons: 35.0%; Ref: 15.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe LD	Victory chances: LD: 99.2%

Winning party: Liberal Democrats
Majority: 5451 (10.01%)
Turnout: 72.71%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Sarah Green	Liberal Democrats	24422	44.8%
Gareth Williams	Conservative and Unionist Party	18971	34.8%
Laurence Jarvis	Reform UK	5310	9.8%
Chris Chilton	Labour Party	3502	6.4%
Justine Fulford	Green Party	1673	3.1%
Muhammad Pervez Khan	Workers Party of Britain	466	0.9%
Julian Foster	Heritage Party	111	0.2%

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 18216 (33.91%)
Turnout: 72.4%