Cheltenham

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 49.0%; Cons: 34.0%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 32.0%; Cons: 29.0%; Ref: 18.0%; Green: 10.0%; Lab: 10.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 33.0%; Ref: 23.0%; Cons: 19.0%; Green: 10.0%
YouGov September 2025	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 47.0%; Cons: 25.0%; Ref: 13.0%
More in Common September 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 40.0%; Cons: 27.0%; Ref: 20.0%
More in Common July 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 42.0%; Cons: 29.0%; Lab: 12.0%; Ref: 12.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 39.0%; Cons: 25.0%; Ref: 17.0%; Lab: 10.0%
YouGov June 2025	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 48.0%; Cons: 25.0%; Ref: 11.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 35.0%; Cons: 31.0%; Ref: 13.0%
More in Common April 2025	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 43.0%; Cons: 28.0%; Lab: 12.0%; Ref: 11.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 34.0%; Cons: 27.0%; Lab: 14.0%; Ref: 13.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 41.0%; Cons: 34.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe LD	Victory chances: LD: 100.0%

Winning party: Liberal Democrats
Majority: 7210 (14.55%)
Turnout: 65.06%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Max Wilkinson	Liberal Democrats	25076	50.6%
Alex Chalk	Conservative and Unionist Party	17866	36.1%
Daniel Wilson	Green Party	3160	6.4%
Lara Chaplin	Labour Party	2665	5.4%
Daud McDonald	Independent	775	1.6%

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 1421 (2.49%)
Turnout: 75.5%