Carshalton and Wallington

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 32.0%; Ref: 24.0%; Cons: 20.0%; Green: 10.0%; Lab: 10.0%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 31.0%; Ref: 25.0%; Cons: 23.0%; Lab: 15.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 45.0%; Ref: 41.0%
YouGov September 2025	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 39.0%; Ref: 22.0%; Cons: 20.0%; Lab: 10.0%
More in Common September 2025	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 43.0%; Ref: 22.0%; Cons: 20.0%; Lab: 11.0%
More in Common July 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 35.0%; Cons: 25.0%; Ref: 20.0%; Lab: 17.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 34.0%; Ref: 28.0%; Cons: 18.0%; Lab: 13.0%
YouGov June 2025	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 40.0%; Ref: 22.0%; Cons: 19.0%; Lab: 12.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 28.0%; Cons: 26.0%; Ref: 24.0%; Lab: 13.0%
More in Common April 2025	Likely LD	Vote shares: LD: 42.0%; Cons: 22.0%; Ref: 17.0%; Lab: 16.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 28.0%; Ref: 25.0%; Cons: 21.0%; Lab: 17.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 37.0%; Cons: 26.0%; Ref: 19.0%; Lab: 13.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe LD	Victory chances: LD: 100.0%

Winning party: Liberal Democrats
Majority: 7905 (16.93%)
Turnout: 62.76%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Bobby Dean	Liberal Democrats	20126	43.1%
Elliot Colburn	Conservative and Unionist Party	12221	26.2%
Hersh Thaker	Labour Party	6108	13.1%
Elizabeth Cooper	Reform UK	5941	12.7%
Tracey Hague	Green Party	1517	3.3%
Atif Abdul Rashid	Workers Party of Britain	441	0.9%
Ashley Keith Dickenson	Christian Peoples Alliance	231	0.5%
Steve Kelleher	Social Democratic Party	85	0.2%

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 629 (1.28%)
Turnout: 67.5%