Bristol East
Official Parliament web pageCurrent MP
Name: Kerry McCarthy
Party: Labour
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
They Work For You
2029 election
No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.
Projections
| Projection | Projected result | Description |
|---|---|---|
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026 | Safe Green | Vote shares: Green: 45%; Lab: 20%; Ref: 13% |
| More in Common April 2026 | Likely Green | Vote shares: Green: 43%; Lab: 24%; Cons: 12%; Ref: 12% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026 | Likely Green | Vote shares: Green: 38%; Ref: 17%; Lab: 15%; Cons: 14% |
| More in Common January 2026 | Likely Green | Vote shares: Green: 42%; Lab: 21%; Ref: 18%; Cons: 13% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025 | Toss-up Green | Vote shares: Green: 27%; Lab: 26%; Ref: 16%; Cons: 12% |
| YouGov September 2025 | Lean Green | Vote shares: Green: 35%; Lab: 27%; Ref: 14%; Cons: 11% |
| More in Common September 2025 | Toss-up Green | Vote shares: Green: 32%; Lab: 26%; Ref: 18%; Cons: 12% |
| More in Common July 2025 | Toss-up Green | Vote shares: Green: 33%; Lab: 29%; Cons: 15%; Ref: 14% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025 | Toss-up Green | Vote shares: Green: 30%; Lab: 27%; Ref: 19%; Cons: 10% |
| YouGov June 2025 | Toss-up Green | Vote shares: Green: 32%; Lab: 30%; Ref: 15%; Cons: 12% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 34%; Green: 30%; Cons: 14%; Ref: 10% |
| More in Common April 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 33%; Green: 28%; Cons: 15%; Ref: 12% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 34%; Green: 31%; Cons: 14%; Ref: 10% |
| Focaldata Jan 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 38%; Green: 35%; Cons: 12% |
| More in Common Dec 2024 | Safe Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 100% |
2024 results
Winning party: Labour
Majority: 6606 (14.32%)
Turnout: 60.74%
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kerry McCarthy | Labour Party | 20748 | 45.0% |
| Ani Stafford-Townsend | Green Party | 14142 | 30.7% |
| Dan Conaghan | Conservative and Unionist Party | 6435 | 14.0% |
| Tony Sutcliffe | Liberal Democrats | 2713 | 5.9% |
| Farooq Ahmed Siddique | Independent | 1259 | 2.7% |
| Claire Dunnage | Social Democratic Party | 555 | 1.2% |
| Wael Mustapha Arafat | Independent | 257 | 0.6% |
More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"
2019 notional results
(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)
Winning party: Labour
Majority: 19393 (35.07%)
Turnout: 72.8%
| Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 32280 | 58.4% |
| Conservative | 12887 | 23.3% |
| Green | 4664 | 8.4% |
| Liberal Democrats | 3840 | 6.9% |
| Reform UK | 1615 | 2.9% |