Bridlington and The Wolds

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 46.0%; Cons: 36.0%
More in Common January 2026	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 42.0%; Cons: 28.0%; Lab: 12.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Likely Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 49.0%; Cons: 27.0%
YouGov September 2025	Likely Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 41.0%; Cons: 22.0%; Lab: 13.0%; LD: 11.0%
More in Common September 2025	Likely Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 44.0%; Cons: 26.0%; Lab: 13.0%; LD: 12.0%
More in Common July 2025	Likely Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 45.0%; Cons: 26.0%; Lab: 14.0%; LD: 12.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Likely Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 45.0%; Cons: 23.0%; Lab: 15.0%
YouGov June 2025	Likely Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 39.0%; Cons: 24.0%; Lab: 18.0%; LD: 10.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 40.0%; Cons: 28.0%; Lab: 15.0%
More in Common April 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 38.0%; Cons: 30.0%; Lab: 15.0%; LD: 11.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 37.0%; Cons: 29.0%; Lab: 15.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 35.0%; Cons: 33.0%; Lab: 18.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Cons	Victory chances: Cons: 100.0%

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 3125 (7.27%)
Turnout: 57.68%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Charlie Dewhirst	Conservative and Unionist Party	14846	34.6%
Sarah Carter	Labour Party	11721	27.3%
Maria Bowtell	Reform UK	10350	24.1%
Jayne Phoenix	Liberal Democrats	3097	7.2%
Gill Leek	Green Party	1595	3.7%
Tim Norman	Yorkshire Party	915	2.1%
Tom Cone	Independent	309	0.7%
Carlo Verda	Social Democratic Party	104	0.2%

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 21685 (46.69%)
Turnout: 64.1%