Bournemouth East
Official Parliament web pageCurrent MP
Name: Tom Hayes
Party: Labour
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
They Work For You
2029 election
No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.
Projections
| Projection | Projected result | Description |
|---|---|---|
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 26%; Cons: 19%; Green: 19%; Lab: 19%; LD: 10% |
| More in Common April 2026 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 29%; Cons: 24%; Lab: 21%; LD: 12%; Green: 10% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 28%; Cons: 24%; Lab: 20%; Green: 15% |
| More in Common January 2026 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 36%; Cons: 26%; Lab: 17%; Green: 13% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 40%; Lab: 34%; Cons: 10% |
| YouGov September 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 28%; Lab: 24%; Cons: 20%; Green: 12%; LD: 11% |
| More in Common September 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 35%; Cons: 23%; Lab: 22%; LD: 10% |
| More in Common July 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 37%; Cons: 24%; Lab: 20%; Green: 11% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 32%; Lab: 30%; Cons: 19% |
| YouGov June 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Lab: 26%; Ref: 26%; Cons: 21%; Green: 12%; LD: 12% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 29%; Cons: 25%; Ref: 24% |
| More in Common April 2025 | Toss-up Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 28%; Lab: 27%; Ref: 26% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 29%; Cons: 25%; Ref: 23% |
| Focaldata Jan 2025 | Lean Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 35%; Cons: 27%; Ref: 20% |
| More in Common Dec 2024 | Safe Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 98% |
2024 results
Winning party: Labour
Majority: 5479 (12.19%)
Turnout: 62.07%
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Hayes | Labour Party | 18316 | 40.8% |
| Tobias Ellwood | Conservative and Unionist Party | 12837 | 28.6% |
| Martin Houlden | Reform UK | 6268 | 14.0% |
| Jon Nicholas | Liberal Democrats | 3082 | 6.9% |
| Joe Salmon | Green Party | 2790 | 6.2% |
| Kieron Wilson | Independent | 1529 | 3.4% |
| Miles Penn | Social Democratic Party | 88 | 0.2% |
More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"
2019 notional results
(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)
Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 8817 (17.87%)
Turnout: 67.4%
| Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 24957 | 50.6% |
| Labour | 16140 | 32.7% |
| Liberal Democrats | 5418 | 11.0% |
| Green | 2052 | 4.2% |
| Other | 761 | 1.5% |