Blackpool North and Fleetwood

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Likely Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 40.0%; Cons: 22.0%; Lab: 19.0%
More in Common January 2026	Likely Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 44.0%; Cons: 23.0%; Lab: 18.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Safe Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 47.0%; Cons: 18.0%; Lab: 18.0%
YouGov September 2025	Likely Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 42.0%; Lab: 24.0%; Cons: 15.0%
More in Common September 2025	Safe Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 47.0%; Lab: 21.0%; Cons: 20.0%
More in Common July 2025	Safe Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 46.0%; Lab: 21.0%; Cons: 20.0%; LD: 10.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Likely Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 41.0%; Lab: 23.0%; Cons: 22.0%
YouGov June 2025	Likely Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 39.0%; Lab: 23.0%; Cons: 19.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 36.0%; Cons: 28.0%; Lab: 23.0%
More in Common April 2025	Likely Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 42.0%; Cons: 24.0%; Lab: 21.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 36.0%; Cons: 25.0%; Lab: 22.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 35.0%; Ref: 30.0%; Cons: 26.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Lean Ref	Victory chances: Ref: 57.0%; Cons: 43.0%

Winning party: Labour
Majority: 4647 (11.11%)
Turnout: 57.01%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Lorraine Beavers	Labour Party	16744	40.0%
Paul Maynard	Conservative and Unionist Party	12097	28.9%
Dan Barker	Reform UK	9913	23.7%
Bill Greene	Liberal Democrats	1318	3.2%
Tina Rothery	Green Party	1269	3.0%
James Antony Lionel Michael Rust	The Official Monster Raving Loony Party	174	0.4%
Gita Gordon	Independent	148	0.4%
Jan Cresswell	Social Democratic Party	147	0.4%

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 10119 (20.21%)
Turnout: 66.4%