Birmingham Selly Oak
Official Parliament web pageCurrent MP
Name: Alistair Carns
Party: Labour
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
They Work For You
2029 election
No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.
Projections
| Projection | Projected result | Description |
|---|---|---|
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026 | Toss-up Green | Vote shares: Green: 26%; Lab: 22%; Ref: 22%; Other: 13%; Cons: 11% |
| More in Common April 2026 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 31%; Ref: 24%; Green: 16%; Cons: 14% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 31%; Green: 25%; Lab: 18%; Cons: 12% |
| More in Common January 2026 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 29%; Ref: 29%; Cons: 15%; Green: 13%; LD: 10% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025 | Lean Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 45%; Ref: 37% |
| YouGov September 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 28%; Ref: 26%; Green: 17%; Cons: 11%; LD: 10% |
| More in Common September 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 34%; Lab: 29%; Cons: 13%; LD: 12% |
| More in Common July 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 33%; Ref: 32%; Cons: 15%; Green: 11% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 30%; Lab: 28%; Cons: 14%; Green: 13% |
| YouGov June 2025 | Lean Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 32%; Ref: 24%; Green: 17%; Cons: 13%; LD: 11% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025 | Lean Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 32%; Ref: 22%; Cons: 18%; Green: 13% |
| More in Common April 2025 | Lean Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 37%; Ref: 23%; Cons: 16%; Green: 10%; LD: 10% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 27%; Ref: 22%; Cons: 17%; Green: 13%; Other: 11% |
| Focaldata Jan 2025 | Likely Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 39%; Ref: 22%; Cons: 16%; Green: 13% |
| More in Common Dec 2024 | Safe Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 100% |
2024 results
Winning party: Labour
Majority: 11537 (30.02%)
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alistair Carns | Labour Party | 17371 | 45.2% |
| Simon Dennis Phipps | Conservative and Unionist Party | 5834 | 15.2% |
| Erin Crawford | Reform UK | 5732 | 14.9% |
| Jane Louisa Baston | Green Party | 4320 | 11.2% |
| Kamel Hawwash | Independent | 2842 | 7.4% |
| David Stephen Radcliffe | Liberal Democrats | 2324 | 6.0% |
More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"
2019 notional results
(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)
Winning party: Labour
Majority: 11645 (24.08%)
Turnout: 63.4%
| Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 26936 | 55.7% |
| Conservative | 15291 | 31.6% |
| Liberal Democrats | 3018 | 6.2% |
| Green | 1783 | 3.7% |
| Reform UK | 1319 | 2.7% |