Birmingham Northfield
Official Parliament web pageCurrent MP
Name: Laurence Turner
Party: Labour
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
They Work For You
2029 election
No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.
Projections
| Projection | Projected result | Description |
|---|---|---|
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 28%; Lab: 20%; Cons: 18%; Green: 17%; Other: 11% |
| More in Common April 2026 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 29%; Lab: 25%; Cons: 24%; Green: 12% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 38%; Cons: 19%; Lab: 17%; Green: 14% |
| More in Common January 2026 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 33%; Lab: 24%; Cons: 23%; Green: 10% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 50%; Lab: 33% |
| YouGov September 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 32%; Lab: 23%; Cons: 17%; Green: 12%; LD: 10% |
| More in Common September 2025 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 41%; Lab: 24%; Cons: 19% |
| More in Common July 2025 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 41%; Lab: 25%; Cons: 19% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 42%; Lab: 25%; Cons: 16% |
| YouGov June 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 33%; Lab: 27%; Cons: 18%; Green: 11% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 33%; Lab: 25%; Cons: 23% |
| More in Common April 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 31%; Ref: 31%; Cons: 20% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 29%; Lab: 25%; Cons: 23%; Green: 10% |
| Focaldata Jan 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 35%; Ref: 28%; Cons: 23% |
| More in Common Dec 2024 | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 89% |
2024 results
Winning party: Labour
Majority: 5389 (14.31%)
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Laurence Turner | Labour Party | 14929 | 39.6% |
| Gary Sambrook | Conservative and Unionist Party | 9540 | 25.3% |
| Stephen Richard Peters | Reform UK | 7895 | 21.0% |
| Robert Andrew Grant | Green Party | 2809 | 7.5% |
| Jerry Evans | Liberal Democrats | 1791 | 4.8% |
| Altaf Hussain | Independent | 310 | 0.8% |
| Dick Rodgers | Common Good | 215 | 0.6% |
| Dean Gwilliam | Independent | 163 | 0.4% |
More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"
2019 notional results
(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)
Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 1478 (3.38%)
Turnout: 59.5%
| Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 20135 | 46.1% |
| Labour | 18657 | 42.7% |
| Liberal Democrats | 2013 | 4.6% |
| Reform UK | 1661 | 3.8% |
| Green | 972 | 2.2% |
| Other | 254 | 0.6% |