Basingstoke
Official Parliament web pageCurrent MP
Name: Luke Murphy
Party: Labour
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
They Work For You
2029 election
No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.
Projections
| Projection | Projected result | Description |
|---|---|---|
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 24%; Cons: 22%; Lab: 20%; Green: 18%; LD: 11% |
| More in Common April 2026 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 28%; Cons: 25%; Lab: 21%; Green: 13%; LD: 12% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 27%; Cons: 25%; Lab: 21%; Green: 15% |
| More in Common January 2026 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 34%; Cons: 24%; Lab: 21%; Green: 12% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 34%; Lab: 23%; Cons: 21% |
| YouGov September 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 27%; Lab: 25%; Cons: 21%; Green: 12%; LD: 11% |
| More in Common September 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 30%; Lab: 23%; Cons: 22%; Green: 12%; LD: 11% |
| More in Common July 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 33%; Lab: 24%; Cons: 22%; Green: 11%; LD: 10% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 28%; Lab: 26%; Cons: 24%; Green: 11% |
| YouGov June 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 27%; Ref: 25%; Cons: 22%; Green: 13%; LD: 11% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025 | Toss-up Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 29%; Lab: 28%; Ref: 23%; Green: 10% |
| More in Common April 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Cons: 26%; Lab: 26%; Ref: 23%; LD: 12%; Green: 10% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025 | Toss-up Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 29%; Lab: 26%; Ref: 21%; Green: 10%; LD: 10% |
| Focaldata Jan 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 32%; Cons: 27%; Ref: 22%; LD: 11% |
| More in Common Dec 2024 | Safe Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 100% |
2024 results
Winning party: Labour
Majority: 6484 (13.23%)
Turnout: 62.42%
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Murphy | Labour Party | 20922 | 42.7% |
| Maria Miller | Conservative and Unionist Party | 14438 | 29.5% |
| Ray Saint | Reform UK | 6314 | 12.9% |
| Michael Howard-Sorrell | Green Party | 3568 | 7.3% |
| Richard Whelan | Liberal Democrats | 3176 | 6.5% |
| Alan Harvey Stone | Hampshire Independents | 571 | 1.2% |
More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"
2019 notional results
(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)
Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 12301 (24.03%)
Turnout: 66.4%
| Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 26966 | 52.7% |
| Labour | 14665 | 28.7% |
| Liberal Democrats | 6797 | 13.3% |
| Green | 2007 | 3.9% |
| Other | 746 | 1.5% |