Basildon and Billericay

Current MP

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Likely Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 47.0%; Cons: 23.0%; Lab: 13.0%
More in Common January 2026	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 42.0%; Cons: 28.0%; Lab: 16.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Safe Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 48.0%; Cons: 23.0%; Lab: 12.0%
YouGov September 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 36.0%; Cons: 24.0%; Lab: 17.0%
More in Common September 2025	Likely Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 42.0%; Cons: 24.0%; Lab: 15.0%; LD: 10.0%
More in Common July 2025	Likely Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 43.0%; Cons: 26.0%; Lab: 17.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Likely Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 44.0%; Cons: 22.0%; Lab: 16.0%
YouGov June 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 36.0%; Cons: 24.0%; Lab: 21.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 36.0%; Cons: 29.0%; Lab: 18.0%
More in Common April 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 37.0%; Cons: 28.0%; Lab: 21.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 34.0%; Cons: 32.0%; Lab: 16.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 33.0%; Cons: 30.0%; Lab: 23.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Cons	Victory chances: Cons: 99.2%

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 20 (0.04%)
Turnout: 54.80%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Richard John Holden	Conservative and Unionist Party	12905	30.6%
Alex Harrison	Labour Party	12885	30.6%
Stephen Conlay	Reform UK	11354	27.0%
Edward Krishan Sainsbury	Liberal Democrats	2292	5.4%
Stewart Goshawk	Green Party	2123	5.0%
Christopher David Bateman	British Democratic Party	373	0.9%
Dave Murray	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	192	0.5%

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 20749 (44.28%)
Turnout: 60.9%