Barrow and Furness
Official Parliament web pageCurrent MP
Name: Michelle Scrogham
Party: Labour
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
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2029 election
No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.
Projections
| Projection | Projected result | Description |
|---|---|---|
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 31%; Cons: 24%; Lab: 23%; Green: 11% |
| More in Common April 2026 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 37%; Cons: 27%; Lab: 21% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 40%; Lab: 21%; Cons: 20% |
| More in Common January 2026 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 37%; Cons: 25%; Lab: 20% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 42%; Lab: 20%; Cons: 19% |
| YouGov September 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 33%; Lab: 26%; Cons: 19% |
| More in Common September 2025 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 42%; Lab: 24%; Cons: 22% |
| More in Common July 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 38%; Lab: 24%; Cons: 21%; LD: 13% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 36%; Lab: 26%; Cons: 23% |
| YouGov June 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 31%; Lab: 29%; Cons: 22% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 33%; Cons: 28%; Lab: 25% |
| More in Common April 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 35%; Cons: 25%; Lab: 23%; LD: 12% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 30%; Cons: 26%; Lab: 25% |
| Focaldata Jan 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 35%; Cons: 30%; Ref: 25% |
| More in Common Dec 2024 | Lean Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 75%; Lab: 25% |
2024 results
Winning party: Labour
Majority: 5324 (12.60%)
Turnout: 56.31%
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Scrogham | Labour Party | 18537 | 43.9% |
| Simon Fell | Conservative and Unionist Party | 13213 | 31.3% |
| Barry Morgan | Reform UK | 7035 | 16.7% |
| Adrian Waite | Liberal Democrats | 1680 | 4.0% |
| Lorraine Wrennall | Green Party | 1466 | 3.5% |
| Lisa Morgan | Party Of Women | 290 | 0.7% |
More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"
2019 notional results
(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)
Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 7436 (14.85%)
Turnout: 65.3%
| Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 26551 | 53.1% |
| Labour | 19115 | 38.2% |
| Liberal Democrats | 2256 | 4.5% |
| Reform UK | 1355 | 2.7% |
| Green | 770 | 1.5% |